Unexpectedly many Americans are contemplating voting for a third-party candidate in 2024 due to the possibility of a Trump-Biden rematch, as indicated in a new survey.
According to a startling NewsNation/DDHQ (Decision Desk Headquarters) survey conducted between May 25–26 among 1,000 eligible voters, 49% of Americans would think about supporting a third-party presidential contender if President Biden and former President Trump face off again in the 2024 presidential election.
The survey posed the question, “How inclined would you be to contemplate voting for a 3rd party contender in the 2024 presidential election assuming President Biden, as well as Former President Trump, are actually renominated by their respective parties?”
Along with 25.67% who stated they were “somewhat likely,” 23.38% of voters indicated that they would “very likely” consider such a choice.
According to a poll conducted in April by Yahoo News and YouGov, 38% of respondents indicated they would have “exhaustion” if a Trump-Biden rematch occurred, while 29% would experience “fear” and 23% would experience “sadness” or “anger.” Only 23% said they had “hope.” More than twice as many respondents (28%), as any other topic, said that inflation was their top worry.
According to an NBC survey taken April 14–18 among 1,000 Americans, 70% of respondents said Biden shouldn’t seek reelection, while 60% thought Trump shouldn’t run for president.
According to a CNBC poll conducted in December 2022, 61% of participants felt Trump should not run for president and 70% said Biden should not seek reelection.
According to the NewsNation/DDHQ survey, a majority of 55% of respondents said inflation was a more urgent issue than unemployment, crime, or immigration, and over 43% of respondents disapprove of the way Biden is managing his role as president.
In response to the question “What is your biggest concern regarding public schools?” about 19% of respondents stated recuperating from the loss of learning caused by the pandemic. This was followed closely by “limiting discussions of sexual orientation and gender identity” (18%) and “giving parents greater input in school decisions” (17%).
In the last 100 years, there has never been a credible challenge from a third-party candidate to win the presidency. By winning 19% of the vote in 1992, H. Ross Perot very likely stole enough votes from George H. W. Bush to enable Bill Clinton to win the presidency with only a majority of the vote. Bush took 38% of the vote, while Clinton received 43%.
John Anderson received 6% of the vote in 1980, but his support was inconsequential since Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter by a huge margin of 10%.