Contrary to the popular belief that a potential Trump conviction would improve President Joe Biden’s declining poll numbers, a recent Telegraph/Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll found that a conviction in the former president’s criminal trial would increase his support among voters in important swing states.
For the poll, seven swing states provided voter samples.
- More people stated that they would be more inclined to vote for Trump if he had a conviction in Michigan, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.
- According to 35% of Georgia voters, a Trump conviction would make them more likely to support the former president. Merely 27% of respondents stated that a conviction for Trump would make them less of a fan.
- According to polling data from Arizona and Pennsylvania, a probable conviction would either have no effect at all or just marginally harm Trump. Voters in Arizona were divided equally. Pennsylvania voters expressed that they would support Trump “somewhat less” if persuaded.
- “The results of our polls clearly show that American people want to have their election determined by themselves, not by the courts,” Redfield & Wilton Strategies director of research Philip van Scheltinga told the Telegraph.
“Given what has been happening over the past several years, it is not that unexpected that more voters believe they would be more likely to vote for Trump if he is convicted,” he stated. “This lawsuit is just another example of the many intense conflicts between Trump and his opponents that most Americans are familiar with.”
He said, “The probes into Trump helped seal his nomination by deflating other campaigns and making it tough to criticize him when it appeared that he was under assault.” “They might actually push him into the White House now.”
Just before Michael Cohen’s expected public debut on Monday, the Associated Press released the poll.
“The much-awaited testimony from Trump’s former attorney and personal fixer would come after prosecutors built an astounding case that ultimately rests on maintaining records. “According to accusations, Trump fabricated internal company documents to conceal payments made by Cohen to hush up allegations that may have harmed the former president’s 2016 campaign.”
In recent weeks, prosecutors have presented or played for jurors various materials that purport to prove what they claim was an unlawful conspiracy to sway that year’s election, including text exchanges, audio recordings, notes, and more. To add to the excitement, witnesses such as porn star Stormy Daniels, former Trump officials, and editor of the National Enquirer David Pecker occasionally gave emotional testimonies. After informing the judge on Friday that they anticipated calling just two more witnesses, the prosecution may conclude its case this week.
Before going into the courtroom, Trump assured reporters, “I am innocent. This is a political witch hunt. And no one has ever witnessed something comparable to this.”
