According to a Quinnipiac University survey, former President Trump leads President Biden by two points in the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania in a hypothetical presidential election contest. He also leads his Republican primary rivals by a significant margin.
A study released this week reveals that 47% of registered voters in Pennsylvania, including those who aren’t sure yet, would vote for Trump in a rematch of the election in 2020, while only 45% would vote for Biden.
Three percent more would vote for someone else, two percent are still not sure, and one percent declined to answer. Regarding independents, Trump has a nearly 10-point lead over Biden, with 48% of their support to 39% for Biden.
“Biden versus Trump: the same as it ever was, preparing for another probable bare-knuckle brawl involving the two contenders in Biden’s home state,” Polling Expert Tim Malloy of Quinnipiac University wrote in the poll’s report.
Among voters 50 to 64 years old, the 45th president has an 11-point lead. Among respondents 65 and up, Biden has a 12-point lead. People aged 35 to 49 are almost evenly split between Trump and Biden, with Trump getting 46% of that age group and Biden getting 46%. Also, Trump is only four points behind Biden in the 18–35 age group, with 47% for Biden and 43% for Trump.
When it comes to the GOP primary part of the poll, Trump is still far ahead of his opponents. Sixty-one percent of those polled back Trump for the GOP nomination. This is 47 percentage points more than Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), who comes in second with 14 percent.
Third-placed former Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC) is close behind DeSantis with 8% of the vote. Former Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ) and former Vice President Mike Pence are next with 4% each.
Malloy said, “That doesn’t mean Trump can just ‘hear footsteps,’ but Ron DeSantis might pay attention to the fact that Nikki Haley is closing in on second place.”
Next, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy gets 2% of the vote, followed by Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) and Governor Doug Burgum, who each get 1%. Not a single other candidate in the poll got a percent, and only 3% are still not sure.
Between September 28 and October 2, Quinnipiac surveyed “1,725 self-identified registered voters,” of whom 711 were Republicans. Giving or taking 2.4 percent is the margin of error for the made-up presidential race. The poll’s margin of error for the GOP race is 3.7%, plus or minus. There are leaners in both sets of data.