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2024 Will Be A Tight Three-Way Race, New Poll Shows

A Fox News poll found that third-party candidates make things even more complicated. Former President Trump and President Biden are tied in a head-to-head race across the country.

There is a three percent margin of error (MOE) between Trump and Biden in this week’s study, which means that the two candidates are about even. Out of those who answered, 49% chose Biden and 48% chose Trump. One percent are still not sure, two percent are not going to vote, and one percent are going to put someone else’s name in.

Since Sept.’s Fox News survey, Trump’s support has stayed the same, but Biden’s has grown by three points.

There is a three-way contest between Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Trump and Biden are tied at 41%. Kennedy stole votes from both candidates, getting 16 percent of the vote in the present situation since only one percent of voters aren’t sure who to vote for, won’t vote, or are backing someone else.

In a race between Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Cornel West of the Green Party for president, West harms Biden a lot more than Kennedy is doing. With 45% of the vote, Trump is ahead of Biden, who has 43%. Nine percent of voters choose West. Another four percent aren’t sure who to vote for, will vote for a different candidate, or won’t bother to vote at all.

It’s more probable for independents to vote for Kennedy (41% vs. 28%). “That hurts Trump, who does 9 points greater among independents in opposition to West compared to Kennedy,” Fox News’ Dana Blanton said.

There is a chance that all four candidates will be in the general election, but Fox News did not look into this.

Fox News also looked at possible matchups between Biden and Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) and former Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC). Ron DeSantis is ahead of Biden by two points, with a statistical tie at 49% to 47%. Haley, on the other hand, has a four-point lead, which is just outside the MOE. Biden only gets 45% of the vote, while she gets 49%.

But in the Republican presidential primary and election field, the 45th president is miles ahead of Haley, DeSantis, as well as other opponents. Trump has 59 percent of the votes from 449 potential Republican voters in the primary or caucus-goers, making him the clear favorite. With 13% of the vote, DeSantis, Trump’s closest rival, is 46 points far behind the 45th president.

DeSantis’s closest competitor, Haley, is now in second place with 10%, up five points from the Sept. polling. Vivek Ramaswamy, an anti-woke entrepreneur, is also in the running with 7%, down three points since the previous Fox News poll.

Author: Blake Ambrose

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